Yes they will

Sometimes, a surprise is not a surprise. In recent years, the US defense budget has skyrocketed. Last year, for example, Congress added $44.6 billion to the Pentagon budget compared to an already sky-high Biden administration request. As a result, the funds appropriated to the Department of Defense last year increased by a colossal $76 billion from the previous year. In fact, the US defense budget is well above the peak of the Vietnam War after adjusting for inflation.

The push to shovel more money into the Pentagon has been led primarily by Republicans, such as House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-Ala.) but supported by most Republicans and many Democrats as well. Rogers crowed last year about the annual defense authorization bill as a “bipartisan and bicameral agreement that makes the investments our military needs to maintain overmatch with China.” Certainly, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine added gasoline to the defense fire.

Recently, there has been a reaction against the drive to add more money for defense. The true surprise: much of the change of heart is coming not from Democratic doves but from Republican hawks. Given recent trends, the reversal may seem abrupt, but should not be considered shocking when there have been warnings about the growth of defense spending for years.

REPUBLICANS CUTS?!

Most shocking has been an article in “The American Conservative” by Kevin Roberts, the president of the ultra-conservative Heritage Foundation. That surprise might only be topped if Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes decided to trade in his football for pickleball.

Roberts wrote about “out-of-control” spending and charged, “Congress accepted the DC canard that a bigger budget alone equals a stronger military.” He added, “Congress needs to put away its kid gloves and put the Department of Defense and other agencies alike under the knife to excise wasteful spending.”

Wow! Finally, something politicians across the spectrum can agree on: there is money being wasted. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) could have written those lines. And Roberts wrote this after talking with several members of Congress.

These Republicans have been shocked by the money recently lavished on the Pentagon, which certainly appears excessive to doves but perhaps hawks as well.

Then there is Rep. Ken Calvert (R-Calif.), the new chair of the House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, a key position to influence the direction of defense spending. While less radical than Roberts, Calvert asserted that he “is ready for some disruption at the Pentagon.” Calvert mentioned some of his goals, such as cutting the civilian workforce at the Pentagon, which now numbers 700,000, and working to lower the cost of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the world’s most expensive weapons program.

The deepest cuts have been promoted by former acting Secretary of Defense Christopher Miller, who served in the last months of the Trump administration. Miller has called for fundamentally overhauling the defense budget “to the point at which its military spending could be cut in half.” In a new book, he wrote that the military “is too big and bloated and wasteful.”

Other calls for cuts have come from freshman GOP Senator and former Secretary of Interior Ryan Zinke (R-Mont.) but are focused on cutting the Pentagon’s workforce. A bipartisan group including conservatives Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT), Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.) and Rep. Tom McClintock (R-Calif.), and liberals Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) has called for ending “wish lists.”