US population likely to double by 2075
Stowell, Nicholas 21 — (Stowell, Nicholas, Claremont Graduate University; ; Published: 2021; "Silver Tsunami: The Political Demography of Aging Populations"; The Claremont Graduate University ProQuest Dissertations Publishing; Accessed: 6-22-2023; https://www.proquest.com/openview/9f7408ce602e69a9c7af9676965fb34c/1?cbl=18750&diss=y&pq-origsite=gscholar)//Pen-SY
As the preceding sections have noted, the United States is in a position of relative advantage regarding its level and trajectory of total and old-age dependency as compared to Europe and China. Nevertheless, the OECD forecasts that, by 2075, the United States’ old-age dependency ratio will be over 0.49, meaning there will be nearly one elderly dependent for every two working-age Americans (OECD, 2017). While this is considerably lower than the forecasted average for OECD member states of 0.59, it is nevertheless cause for concern. First, this forecast assumes constant migration flows. Yet, as the previous section noted, U.S. migration has been declining precipitously for the past generation.