Russia draw in. ICBM overflight ensures it.
Geoff Wilson 9-15-2016, policy associate at Ploughshares Fund, a global security foundation, “Op-Ed — It’s Time to Ditch the ICBM, America’s Thermonuclear Dinosaur,” https://warisboring.com/op-ed-its-time-to-ditch-the-icbm-americas-thermonuclear-dinosaur/
In the face of an uncertain and ballooning program cost, the real question we should be asking is — why aren’t we just retiring the ICBM part of the arsenal? ICBMs are an anachronism, a thermonuclear dinosaur, and have been for a long time. The strategy for their use is a relic of the Cold War, they do nothing to counter the real threats we face today and they can easily stand to be eliminated from the U.S. nuclear arsenal. To Russia with love With the fall of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, the ICBM mission has been relegated to theory. Designed as a deterrent against Russian nuclear forces in the 1970s, the Minuteman III can only really hit targets inside of Russia. While they could technically reach targets outside of Russia, say North Korea, China or Iran, missiles fired at those targets would still have to overfly Russia. In that scenario the Russians would, understandably, think a salvo of nuclear warheads was coming their way and launch a counterattack.