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And, it cannot mean a POTENTIAL future increase
Edwards ’8 [Richard; 2008; Professor of Communication Studies at Baylor University, Ph.D. in Communication Studies from the University of Iowa; Competitive Debate: The Official Guide, “Policy Debate Final Round,” p. 227]
And, “substantial” means the increase must be definite. Potential future increases are not topical. Words and Phrases, 1964, accessed online: “Substantial means not concealed, denoting that which not merely can be, but is supposed to be, potential, certain, absolute, real at the present time.”
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