No war from supply chain collapse.
Baryamov ’18 [Agha; PhD candidate and lecturer in the department of International Relations and International Organization @ University of Groningen; “Review: Dubious nexus between natural resources and conflict,” Journal of Eurasian Studies 9(1): 72-81]
First, function of natural resources in conflict is narrowly explained. Less research has been devoted to non-resource factors of conflicts and their connection with resources. Conflict is composed of multiple dimensions (political, economic, historical, cultural, ethnic and geographical etc.) rather than single factor. It is not clear how non-resource dimensions o1f conflict interact with natural resources, namely poor performance of state institutions or scarcity of state capacity One may understand how natural resources influence non-resource dimensions but one may not find how and whether non-resource dimensions affect scarcity or abundancy of natural resources. In this regard, it is not sufficient to simply propose scarcity or abundancy of natural resources as the fundamental reason for conflicts. Second, less research has scrutinized political and economic costs of resources wars, namely occupation cost, international cost and investment costs (e.g. Meierding, 2016). The existing works give a misleading impression that resource incomes can cover easily invasion, investment and international costs of wars.