Decline causes Russia war AND growth solves it
Dr. Daniel Drezner 16, Professor of International Politics at Tufts, Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution, “Five Known Unknowns About the Next Generation Global Political Economy”, Project on International Order and Strategy at Brookings, http://www.anamnesis.info/sites/default/files/D_Drezner_2016.pdf.
Geopolitical ambitions could reduce economic interdependence even further.120 Russia and China have territorial and quasi-territorial ambitions beyond their recognized borders, and the United States has attempted to counter what it sees as revisionist behavior by both countries. In a low-growth world, it is possible that leaders of either country would choose to prioritize their nationalist ambitions over economic growth. More generally, it could be that the expectation of future gains from interdependence—rather than existing levels of interdependence—constrains great power bellicosity.121 If great powers expect that the future benefits of international trade and investment will wane, then commercial constraints on revisionist behavior will lessen. All else equal, this increases the likelihood of great power conflict going forward.