No thumpers---the aff’s scale is unprecedented.
David Manley et al. 17, at the National Resource Governance Institute; James Cust, at The World Bank; Giorgia Cecchinato, at London School of Economics, 2-1-17, “Stranded Nations? The Climate Policy Implications for Fossil Fuel-Rich Developing Countries,” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3264765, oj
Asset stranding and significant falls in values in the fossil fuel industry are not new, the recent commodity price slump has stranded many projects already and fossil fuel companies have seen the value of their assets reduced by many millions of dollars. However, the scale of such an outcome under, for example, an effective global climate policy would be entirely new. It would also imply a permanence not normally considered during commodity price slumps. For example, figure 3 shows estimates of the proportion of reserves already discovered that could become permanently stranded if the world keeps to its carbon budget