Conflicts between Palestine, Israel, Iran, and Hezbollah make stability impossible
Anthony Cordesman and Nicholas Harrington 18, the Emeritus Chair in Strategy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He has previously served in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the National Security Council, the State Department, and the Department of Energy, 04/09/18, “Stability in the Middle East: The Range of Short and Long-Term Causes”, https://www.csis.org/analysis/stability-middle-east-range-short-and-long-term-causes#:~:text=The%20Middle%20East%20has%20long,of%20political%20tensions%20and%20divisions //IS
The immediate sources of instability are clear. Most of the region has some form of internal conflict, faces rising external threats, or is dealing with violent extremism. The violence and wars that have resulted from the political upheavals in 2011 will at best leave lasting challenges for unity and development even if the fighting ends. All the major causes of violent extremism remain, and there are few prospects that the fight against ISIS will eliminate the extremist threat in even one MENA country. Tensions between Israel and the Palestinian persist, each side has seen rising internal political barriers to a compromise peace, and the tensions between Israel and Iran and Hezbollah are creating new military threats.