Trump wins – MOST recent polls.
Mueller 7-21 [Julia Mueller, Staff Writer at the Hill. “Harris vs. Trump: What the polls tell us,” July 21, 2024. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4785009-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump/]
But the vice president would face her own challenges if she were to go head-to-head with Trump, according to the latest polling averages from Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) and The Hill.
Trump, who officially accepted the Republican nomination at the GOP convention last week, leads Harris by 2 points, according to the aggregate of national polls, 47 percent support to 45 percent. That’s around the same as Trump’s 2.5-point lead over Biden, with 46 percent support to the incumbent’s 43.5.
With independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the mix, Trump boasts a 6-point lead over Harris, 43 percent support to 37 percent, while Kennedy sits at 6 percent.
The vice president’s favorability sits at 38 percent, slightly lower than Biden’s 41 percent.