Election 2024 will be close, but key stats on undecided voters mean Biden will win

According to an Emerson College Polling national survey conducted on Tuesday and Wednesday, 45.6 percent of registered voters said they would vote for Trump, while 45 percent chose Biden in a head-to-head matchup. Of the 9.4 percent that remain undecided, 5.3 percent said they are leaning toward Biden, while 4.1 percent picked Trump. The poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters and has a credibility interval, similar to a margin of error, of plus or minus 3 percentage points. A poll by The Economist/YouGov performed from Sunday to Tuesday found that support for Biden and Trump was tied (42 percent) among 1,565 registered voters when independent candidates , Jill Stein and  were added to the mix. The poll also had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Biden will win – ahead in fundraiser momentum post a record-breaking event in California

Drucker, et.al., June 17 David M. Drucker, Charles Hilu, and Grant Lefelar JUN 17, 2024 Dispatch Politics

President Joe Biden raised $30 million at a California fundraiser Saturday that featured former President Barack Obama and several Hollywood stars, his campaign said. Celebrities such as George Clooney, Julia Roberts, and Barbra Streisand all made appearances at the event, which broke a record for a single Democratic fundraiser. Biden and the Democrats had a significant fundraising advantage earlier in the campaign, but former President Donald Trump has made serious gains in the wake of the guilty verdict in his hush money trial.