Trump will win – Biden numbers have collapsed post-debate
Victor Reklaitis June 28 2024 “Debate aftermath: Betting markets put Biden’s chance of re-election at a new low” https://www.marketwatch.com/story/debate-aftermath-betting-markets-put-bidens-chance-of-re-election-at-new-low-while-newsom-gains-da63048d
President Joe Biden’s chances of winning this year’s White House race appear to have tumbled in the wake of his in Thursday night’s debate against presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump. Former Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill of Missouri was among Biden’s critics, as : “He had one thing he had to accomplish, and that was reassure America that he was up to the job at his age, and he failed at that.” The 81-year-old Democratic president now has a 19% chance of being re-elected in November, according to an average of . As shown in the chart above, that’s down from 36% Wednesday and is the lowest level so far in RCP’s data, which goes back to January 2023. Trump’s chance of winning this November’s election has risen to 55%, up from 52% on Wednesday and a new high, according to the betting markets tracked by RCP.