Biden wins – few policy blunders secure reelection but the plan upends that

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While the polls may tell one story, political analysts, pundits and experts can tell another. Many who study politics seem to think that despite Trump leading in most polls throughout the majority of the campaign season, it will ultimately be Biden who will secure a second term in office.

Biden is "seen as a moderate figure who has not transformed a politically polarized country," Fox News' Juan Williams said for The Hill, and this "has contributed to his low approval numbers in 2023." However, Biden's low poll numbers "will be out the door in a one-on-one, 2024 rematch with Trump," Williams said.

"The Democrats have the power to make this year's race into a referendum on Trump rather than Biden," Williams said. "With the stock market up, unemployment down, wages rising, inflation slowing and the U.S. standing tall against Russia and China, Biden has a record to persuade swing voters."

Biden could also win reelection because "the strength of the president's record is only matched by the strength of his party," Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg said for MSNBC. Democrats have "won more votes in seven of the past eight presidential elections, something no party has done in modern American history," Rosenberg said, and in both of the prior two years "prevented the historical down ballot struggle of the party in power and had two remarkably successful elections." He added that polling numbers "[continue] to overly discount Trump's historic baggage and MAGA's repeated electoral failures." Also notable is Trump’s significant legal and financial troubles — his New York trial for allegedly participating in an illegal hush money scheme with Stormy Daniels is currently underway, meaning Trump will be forced to sit in a courtroom for long periods of time instead of campaigning. The bad news for Trump comes as Biden is continuing to rake in cash, and recently raised a reported $26 million during a fundraiser with former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. The president "appears to have gained an edge in part because the Democratic Party apparatus, and its fund-raising might, have quickly unified behind him," The New York Times said. Trump, however, now also has the backing of the Republican National Committee, having installed Trump loyalists throughout in a move that "underscores the swiftness with which Trump’s operation is moving to take over the Republican Party’s operations," Politico said. The former president also reportedly raised $50 million of his own during a recent campaign event in Florida, a notable amount given that Biden typically outraises Trump. It comes as Trump's campaign funds are continually being put toward his legal fees.