Opening Word document…
States could lose control over nukes – it’s empirically likely
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2024. Nuclear Terrorism: Assessment of U.S. Strategies to Prevent, Counter, and Respond to Weapons of Mass Destruction. June, https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/27215/nuclear-terrorism-assessment-of-us-strategies-to-prevent-counter-and //DH
There is also the ongoing risk that nuclear states may lose control of the weapons in their possession. This is not only a risk for states such as Pakistan and North Korea. During the Cold War, the United States lost six nuclear weapons or components prior to 1968 that have never been recovered (Suciu 2021; Roza 2022), and the Soviet Union may have lost more (Federation of American Scientists 2023).
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