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Effective policy analysis requires specification of “significantly.”

DPWG ’14 [Development Partners Working Group; November 14; “How to localize targets and indicators of the Post-2015agenda,” http://www.uclg.org/sites/default/files/localization_targets_indicator_web.pdf]

Target 16.1 Significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere (b) Proposed indicators: Proposed indicators Possible alternative indicators Comments (Linkages, disaggregation and sources) 1. Violent injuries, deaths and homicide rates (per 1,000,000 habitants) Linkages: 11.7 Disaggregation by: homicides by gender/ injuries by type, sex and age/geographical breakdowns TBC (Some disaggregated data for most populous cities) Sources: Interpol, UN Crime Trends Survey, UNODC, WHO Mortality Database. Limitations: Data partially available. 2. Refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs) caused by conflict and violence Linkages: N/A. Disaggregation by: By territory of residence (or refugees by country / territory of asylum), location of residence (within country), country of origin (refugees), gender, age and population type. Sources: UNHCR. Comments: For the target to be SMART it requires clarification of what ‘significantly reduce’ means.

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