Trump is leading in the polling among likely voters.
Stanage 7-27-24 [7/27/24, Niall Stanage is the White House Columnist for The Hill., “The Memo: Both sides race to shape voters’ views of Kamala Harris”, The Hill, https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4795540-harris-vice-presidential-race/] HongruiH
The initial spate of polling since Biden dropped out shows that Harris has speedily narrowed the advantage that Trump had been enjoying — but she has not entirely closed it, at least in most polls.
A Wall Street Journal poll released on Friday showed Trump up by two points on Harris, 49 percent to 47 percent, among registered voters. Biden had trailed Trump by six points in a poll from the same organization at the start of this month.
A New York Times/Siena College poll released the previous day showed Trump leading by one point among likely voters, 48 percent to 47 percent. The Times poll had shown Trump leading Biden by six points roughly a month ago.
Strategists in both parties believe opinions are less calcified about Harris, who was only elected to the Senate eight years ago, than they are about Biden, who has been a fixture on the national political scene for a half-century.