‘Ban AI’ fails miserably.
Mueller 24, [Milton Mueller (Professor and Program Director of the Georgia Tech School of Public Policy, Masters of Science in Cybersecurity Policy), "The Myth of AGI: How the illusion of Artificial General Intelligence distorts and distracts digital governance," Internet Governance Project, Georgia Tech, https://www.internetgovernance.org/wp-content/uploads/MythofAGI.pdf, accessed 7-2-2024, 5/24] Mr.Mr.
The first option, a “pause AI” agreement, is obviously not feasible. It would require every government, every firm in the computer industry, and everyone in the world with access to ICTs, to agree to abide by the ban. Even defining what activities are and are not banned would be a complex undertaking. Getting all of industry to follow this ban would require overwhelming support from the business community combined with very strict, comprehensive enforcement from all governments. But none of businesses or governments really want to stop, and even if they did the U.S., British, Chinese, European, Russian and Indian governments will not trust each other to stop unilaterally, and hence there would be no enforcement. Given the (alleged) military and business advantages of being the leader in AI technology, each state would have a strong incentive (payoffs for our game theorists) to defect from a pause agreement. There would be no reliable way to detect noncompliance, and if noncompliance was detected, there would be no way for one government or group of governments to enforce the agreement upon another. Unless there is a Hobbesian Leviathan able to wave his scepter over the entire world and command obedience, “pause AI” doesn’t work.